Title not available in English

Abstract

Workforce projections are a basic input for any policy making process in public or private sector. Aiming to contribute to this subject, the article presents an alternative method to forecast the workforce. Differently from other conventional methods, the model considered allows to deal in an explicitly way with the economic factors and their effects over the participation rates. In the first section, it is presented the methodological framework of the model and then it is shown the results of the metropolitan workforce in 2005, based on different hypotheses concerning the evolution of the participation of women in the active population, the global participation rate, the labor force and the proportion of women in each industry. Finally, these results are compared to the rates and workforce projected by usual extrapolating methods.